Thursday, August 10, 2006

Freakonomics of Lovology

I was discussing with Khemka what write on my new post. Since he is reading freakonomics these days his suggestion varied from weird to outrageous.
'Write about something which is not obvious but is obviously obvious"

'Write about god without talking about god'

Anyways I got the gist of his suggestions. Here's my freokonomical analysis of why all smart girls seem to go around with rather bad choices. What I mean by bad choices in politically correct manner is that generally these guys are outright losers. At the outset I must add there are always few exception to any observation. Please assume, whoever you are, you are an exception.

The theory is rather simple. Essentially if you look at from the perspective of a girl, "which guy to go around ?" is a pure investment decision. Really, its like which stock to buy (retail investor) or which company to acquire(private equity player). In our case analogy of a private equity player is closer, because private equity player takes majority stakes in the company and also gains management role in running of the company after investment. All intelligent investment decision has a very essential rule: always invest in deals which are under valued, no point in going for shares of companies with high valuation. So you see guys which are successful in conventional sense, are good looking and have mental balance are straight away striked off. A Company which is showing growing profits each year, is operating in a lucrative market domain and has good management systems would do well for itself. But its share price is bound to be on a higher side and its rather unlikely that its going to rise any higher. A smart investor looks for sick companies with some potential. A smart girl looks for losers with some potential. A smart investor regularly monitors the performance of the company for some time before investing. If the investor is huge, obviously the company management visits the potential investor regularly and makes presentation on its performance. A smart girl talks (usually on the phone) with the prospective boy friend for hours before committing. After investment this regular monitoring continues and is added with active role in making key decisions for the company.

Well, you might say that same rules should hold true for guys too. And all smart guys should go around with rather bad choices. That doesn't seems to happening. You see there is a fundamental difference in investor mentality. Girls look for long term investments, on the other hand guys tend to prefer short term investments. The perfect investment for a guy would be analogous to day trading. You invest in the evening and are through with returns by next morning. When Warner Buffet few days back said that the market is designed to transfer money from active to patient, he was answering a more deep rooted question of why females enjoy supremacy in the relationship market.

Tuesday, August 01, 2006

Dead Man’s Chest

It’s interesting to see how internal thoughts are manifested in to everything around you. The conflict with my conscious that I had mentioned in my last blog has been resolved for about 2 weeks now. I’ve given up my seat in IIM Lucknow. The Lucknow chapter is finally over. It has lingered in my life for more than a year now. I’ve been thinking of getting back to blogging, but I’ve been genuinely busy last few weeks. Also like many things in life, writing is a bit of habit, its easy to write if you keep posting. It becomes harder if you become irregular. Today I’m sitting here in pune without much to do, I can take out time to overcome this inertia. I now hope to post regularly on this page, let us see how it turns out.

It’s interesting to see how internal thoughts are manifested in to everything around you. They say, when you are in love, it seems all the literature by mills & boon gang is written with you as protagonist (unfortunately I’ve never been in love & fortunately I’ve never read mills & boon, that’s what I’ve heard). I recently saw Pirates of the Caribbean – Dead man’s chest it seemed to depict my dilemma. Captain was abandoning his ship, black-pearl, on a lifeboat to save himself from the curse of Devey Jones. He looked weak, scared and uninspiring. He lost his hat toward the start of the movie and kept looking for a new hat. He was losing trust and respect of his pirate companions on the ship. His compass which is supposed to show the direction to one thing he truly wanted had gone berserk. He didn’t know what he wanted. Obviously he knew he wanted rum, but that was about it.
Toward the end of the movie he returned to his ship. That sea monster coughed up his hat to him. So he got his hat back. He took out his sword and plunged to fight with that monster. That was a truly inspiring moment that was the only moment in the movie when captain looked the way he is supposed to look.
Now we will have to wait for a year for release of the next sequel to see what happens next. I think I’m in a very similar position I’m back on my ship, I’ve put on my hat back, taken my sword out and I’m out fighting Lestrygonians and the Cyclops and the Poseidon. In about a year time I’ll also know the outcome of this battle. Since Pirates of the Caribbean is a fiction and Jack Sparrow is our hero we can safely assume that he will fight all odds to victory. Obviously I can’t be sure about that in my case.
Anyway, captain goes down with his ship.